Ledger · 2026-09-05 · Materials Chemistry / HVAC Working Fluids

Ultra-Low-Corrosion LDAC Working Fluid via Formate-Ionic Liquid Blending

Rejected

This concept did not clear the framework. The reasoning is published in full below.

What the assessment found

Incumbent benchmark40% Liquid Lithium Chloride (LiCl) Solution
Entry applicationCommercial and mid-scale LDAC systems in pharmaceutical and food processing sectors
Measured advantage0.146 gH2O/gsol vs 0.180 gH2O/gsol for 40% LiCl (0.81x performance regression)
Time to first revenue10 months
Gross margin at parity55.6%
Startup CapEx$360,000
Payback from first sale0.4 months
Capital productivity76.8x
Regulatory riskModerate — qualification costs reported ($120,000 estimated)
ProtectabilityNot declared — no specific protectable contribution beyond the published baseline

Why it failed

Assessment

The proposed fluid exhibits a performance regression (0.81x moisture absorption capacity vs 40% LiCl) on the primary buyer performance dimension. It also fails on unit margins (55.5% vs 70% required), startup CapEx ($360,000 vs $250,000 threshold), and lacks a structured Market Absence Ledger and defensibility mapping.

Also flagged

A rejection is not a claim that the science is wrong. It means the venture case did not survive: the comparator was not what the buyer actually buys, the comparison was not like-for-like, the advantage fell short of a step change, or the capital and time to first revenue were prohibitive.


Assessed 2026-09-05 against seven gates plus the voiding sub-tests. How the method works · Browse all concepts