Ledger · 2026-09-05 · Materials Chemistry / HVAC Working Fluids
Ultra-Low-Corrosion LDAC Working Fluid via Formate-Ionic Liquid Blending
Rejected
This concept did not clear the framework. The reasoning is published in full below.
What the assessment found
| Incumbent benchmark | 40% Liquid Lithium Chloride (LiCl) Solution |
| Entry application | Commercial and mid-scale LDAC systems in pharmaceutical and food processing sectors |
| Measured advantage | 0.146 gH2O/gsol vs 0.180 gH2O/gsol for 40% LiCl (0.81x performance regression) |
| Time to first revenue | 10 months |
| Gross margin at parity | 55.6% |
| Startup CapEx | $360,000 |
| Payback from first sale | 0.4 months |
| Capital productivity | 76.8x |
| Regulatory risk | Moderate — qualification costs reported ($120,000 estimated) |
| Protectability | Not declared — no specific protectable contribution beyond the published baseline |
Why it failed
- Voided by: Economics undisclosed, Negative control / sub-2x, Absence search missing, No defensible contribution declared
- Evidence rests on non-peer-reviewed sources
- Margin fails the operating-cost check
- Uncited safety claim
- Absence asserted, search unreported
- No protectable contribution declared
Assessment
The proposed fluid exhibits a performance regression (0.81x moisture absorption capacity vs 40% LiCl) on the primary buyer performance dimension. It also fails on unit margins (55.5% vs 70% required), startup CapEx ($360,000 vs $250,000 threshold), and lacks a structured Market Absence Ledger and defensibility mapping.
Also flagged
- Duplicate references inflating the evidence base
- Price parity asserted, not sourced
- runsheet_no_quantities
A rejection is not a claim that the science is wrong. It means the venture case did not survive: the comparator was not what the buyer actually buys, the comparison was not like-for-like, the advantage fell short of a step change, or the capital and time to first revenue were prohibitive.
Assessed 2026-09-05 against seven gates plus the voiding sub-tests. How the method works · Browse all concepts